Sunday, October 19, 2008

NL Wild Card Series Preview: Glen Allen vs. Fleetwood

Glen Allen Mets - NL East Runner Up
85-77 (.525)

Offense: 5.43 runs per game (4th of 12)
Defense: 5.17 runs per game (6th of 12)
Pythagorean Record: 85-77 (.525)

Team Summary:
After posting a 11-17 record in April, it did not appear that Glen Allen had much of a chance of playing October baseball. But as the weather warmed up, so did the Mets. Flip-flopping their April record, the Mets posted a 17-11 record in May and finished the season with 85 wins. That win total left Glen Allen 8 games behind Springfield for the NL East divisional crown, but put them 3 games ahead of Metropolis for the final NL Wild Card berth.

Without a doubt, Glen Allen's MVP during the regular season was the team's perennial star, Albert Pujols. In what was a slightly down year by his own lofty standards, Pujols batted .313 with 32 HR and 108 RBI. He also drew 120 walks, the most among all National League hitters.

The team made effective use of platoons all over its lineup, leaving no other single player with gaudy batting statistics. However, the Mets finished 4th in the NL in runs scored behind players like mid-season acquisition Ty Wigginton (.281, 37 2B, 30 HR, 72 RBI), outfielder Andre Ethier (.282, 33 2B, 14 HR, 70 runs), and the speedy Juan Pierre (.299, 88 runs, 71 SB).

On the mound, the team's unquestioned ace was veteran right-hander John Smoltz (17-5, 3.76 ERA). Also important to Glen Allen's pitching staff were two crafty lefties: Jamie Moyer (14-11, 4.51 ERA) and mid-season acquisition Tom Glavine (10-15, 4.91 ERA).

Another strength for the Mets was its bullpen, which posted a combined ERA of 3.72. Key relief pitchers included RHP Kevin Gregg (5-7, 3.52 ERA, 24 SV), RHP Peter Moylan (7-7, 3.32 ERA, 8 SV) and LHP Renyel Pinto (4-1, 2.23 ERA).

One of Glen Allen's key weaknesses during the season was its performance versus right-handed pitching. The Mets batted just .267 versus righties, with an on-base percentage of .325 and a slugging percentage of .422. Alternatively, the team crushed left-handed pitching to the tune of a .333 average, a .395 on-base percentage, and a .555 slugging percentage.

To advance deeper into the 2008 playoffs, Glen Allen will need to scratch out runs against Fleetwood's stable of right-handed starting pitchers. The Walkers can be susceptible to the stolen base, perhaps making Pierre and 2B Ian Kinsler key players to watch. But more than anything, Glen Allen will need starring performances from its two superstars: Albert Pujols and John Smoltz.

Glen Allen Lineup:
1-Juan Pierre (LF) .299/.337/.347, 0 HR, 59 RBI, 71 SB
2-Andre Ethier (RF) .282/.354/.449, 14 HR, 54 RBI
3-Albert Pujols (1B) .313/.434/.555, 32 HR, 108 RBI
4-Ty Wigginton (3B) .281/.352/.541, 30 HR, 72 RBI
5-Alex Gonzalez (SS) .248/.286/.468, 19 HR, 63 RBI
6-Mike Piazza (DH) .317/.350/.468, 6 HR, 46 RBI
7-Javier Valentin (C) .296/.357/.413, 2 HR, 26 RBI
8-Jacque Jones (CF) .278/.329/.402, 4 HR, 47 RBI
9-Ian Kinsler (2B) .264/.348/.425, 16 HR, 77 RBI, 24 SB

Glen Allen Bench:
Rick Ankiel (OF) .307/.333/.497, 7 HR, 27 RBI
Yuniesky Betancourt (SS) .299/.330/.466, 10 HR, 53 RBI
Aaron Boone (1B/3B) .300/.394/.409, 4 HR, 26 RBI
Chris Coste (C) .306/.347/.495, 6 HR, 16 RBI
Jason Michaels (OF) .301/.341/.550, 15 HR, 52 RBI
Chris Snyder (C) .266/.367/.529, 20 HR, 55 RBI

Glen Allen Rotation:
RHP John Smoltz (17-5, 3.76 ERA, 216 IP, 227 K)
LHP Jamie Moyer (14-11, 4.51 ERA, 190 IP, 108 K)
LHP Tom Glavine (10-15, 4.91 ERA, 200 IP, 77 K)
RHP Jeff Suppan (10-16, 5.94 ERA, 200 IP, 101 K)

Glen Allen Bullpen:
RHP Kevin Gregg (5-7, 3.52 ERA, 69 IP, 24 SV)
RHP Peter Moylan (7-7, 3.32 ERA, 89 IP, 8 SV)
LHP Renyel Pinto (4-1, 2.23 ERA, 61 IP, 1 SV)
RHP Scott Proctor (4-2, 4.59 ERA, 82 IP 1 SV)
LHP Trever Miller (1-0, 2.89 ERA, 37 IP, 1 SV)
LHP Justin Hampson (3-1, 3.10 ERA, 49 IP, 2 SV)

_______________________________________

Fleetwood Walkers - NL Central Runner Up
122-40 (.753)

Offense: 6.81 runs per game (2nd of 12)
Defense: 3.94 runs per game (2nd of 12)
Pythagorean Record: 121-41 (.749)

Team Summary:
The 2008 Fleetwood Walkers are perhaps the strongest wild-card team BRASSball has ever had. The team set a franchise record with 122 wins during the regular season, only to finish one game behind the powerful Bloomington Bees. Fleetwood was particularly strong at home, posting a 64-17 (.790) record at John Locke Field. The Walkers also showed a knack of winning extra-inning games, posting 5 wins in 7 tries.

Fleetwood's offense was arguably the best in BRASSball, boasting intimidating weapons in DH Miguel Cabrera (.319, 40 HR, 132 RBI), 1B Carlos Pena (.305, 41 HR, 127 RBI), and 3B David Wright (.325, 55 doubles, 28 HR, 111 RBI). The Walkers also once again held true to their nickname, collecting 709 bases-on-balls (2nd in NL).

Fleetwood's pitching staff was equally dominant, finishing 2nd in the National League in runs allowed. Starters A.J. Burnett (15-5, 3.12 ERA) and Greg Maddux (23-3, 3.47 ERA) led the staff, while relievers Heath Bell (13-6, 2.26 ERA, 14 SV) and Manny Corpas (6-2, 1.55 ERA, 19 SV) anchored the bullpen. The team's defense also played a strong role in preventing runs, converting 72.9% of its x-chart chances into outs (3rd in NL).

For Fleetwood to beat Glen Allen, it will need its starting pitching to control the early and middle innings. Doing so will give its potent lineup the chance to deliver late-inning leads to a lock-down bullpen. Key games will be those against John Smoltz: if the Walkers can beat Glen Allen's ace even once, Fleetwood's lefty-mashing lineup stands a great chance of winning 3 other games against southpaws Jamie Moyer and Tom Glavine.

Fleetwood Lineup:
1-Nick Markakis (RF) .276/.329/.437, 20 HR, 98 RBI
2-David Wright (3B) .325/.414/.546, 28 HR, 111 RBI, 13 SB
3-Barry Bonds (LF) .278/.439/.597, 36 HR, 100 RBI
4-Miguel Cabrera (DH) .319/.406/.576, 40 HR, 132 RBI
5-Carlos Pena (1B) .305/.437/.634, 41 HR, 127 RBI
6-Carlos Beltran (CF) .270/.339/.513, 34 HR, 117 RBI
7-Howie Kendrick (2B) .312/.352/.482, 7 HR, 49 RBI
8-Ryan Doumit (C) .271/.372/.514, 13 HR, 52 RBI
9-Jason Bartlett (SS) .281/.345/.400, 6 HR, 62 RBI, 10 SB

Fleetwood Bench:
Asdrubal Cabrera (IF) .377/.427/.593, 7 HR, 25 RBI
Melky Cabrera (OF) .261/.333/.395, 2 HR, 20 RBI
Jesus Flores (C) .302/.333/.529, 11 HR, 41 RBI
Ruben Gotay (IF) .313/.357/.421, 1 HR, 20 RBI
Josh Phelps (1B) .297/.388/.471, 5 HR, 27 RBI
Cody Ross (OF) .379/.448/.791, 16 HR, 51 RBI

Fleetwood Rotation:
RHP A.J. Burnett (15-5, 3.12 ERA, 173 IP, 167 K)
RHP Chad Billingsley (15-5, 3.51 ERA, 154 IP, 144 K)
RHP Kelvim Escobar (21-4, 4.27 ERA, 205 IP, 161 K)
RHP Greg Maddux (23-3, 3.47 ERA, 207 IP, 118 K)

Fleetwood Bullpen:
RHP Manny Corpas (6-2, 1.55 ERA, 19 SV)
RHP Heath Bell (13-6, 2.26 ERA, 14 SV)
LHP Scott Downs (4-2, 1.94 ERA, 3 SV)
RHP Casey Janssen (0-0, 4.20 ERA, 6 SV)
LHP Randy Johnson (4-3, 3.62 ERA)
RHP Zack Greinke (3-2, 5.79 ERA, 5 SV)



Primary Player Statistics For 2008 Glen Allen Mets Totals After 162 Games


NAME BAVG GM AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO HB SH DP SB CS E
D.Murphy .413 22 92 17 38 9 4 5 17 4 17 0 0 1 0 0 1
C.Gomez .333 6 3 2 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 4 0 0
M.Piazza .317 82 312 52 99 21 4 6 46 16 54 0 0 12 0 0 0
A.Pujols .313 155 575 118 180 37 3 32 108 120 76 5 0 20 2 3 11
R.Ankiel .307 40 163 21 50 8 1 7 27 7 39 0 0 6 3 0 4
C.Coste .306 32 111 11 34 3 0 6 16 4 15 3 0 4 0 0 0
J.Michaels .301 88 249 48 75 11 3 15 52 16 54 0 2 6 1 2 0
A.Boone .300 70 203 31 61 10 0 4 26 16 47 16 0 2 1 0 10
J.Pierre .299 160 669 88 200 22 5 0 59 37 59 3 13 7 71 19 2
Y.Betancourt .299 97 365 45 109 27 2 10 53 19 32 0 7 7 4 1 18
J.Valentin .296 70 240 31 71 20 1 2 26 22 18 1 0 11 0 0 1
A.Ethier .282 132 461 70 130 33 1 14 54 50 71 2 0 6 0 0 3
J.Jones .278 110 413 54 115 29 5 4 47 33 64 0 4 15 4 0 5
T.Wigginton .270 78 315 55 85 25 1 19 50 32 62 2 0 12 2 1 9
C.Snyder .266 103 274 51 73 12 0 20 55 36 61 8 0 6 0 0 1
I.Kinsler .264 137 504 76 133 27 3 16 77 62 89 6 11 20 24 5 10
A.Gonzalez .248 108 412 57 102 34 0 19 63 17 79 6 0 16 0 0 14
M.Ensberg .238 72 227 36 54 7 0 15 42 21 50 0 1 4 0 0 10
A.Cora .198 49 126 13 25 7 4 0 8 6 19 4 8 5 1 1 2
M.Montero .174 22 69 4 12 2 0 1 7 7 18 1 0 2 0 0 2
ALL PITCHERS ---- 162 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7
----------------- ---- --- --- --- --- -- -- -- --- --- --- -- -- -- --- -- --
TEAM TOTALS .285 5783 1647 37 833 924 47 117 110
162 880 345 195 525 57 162 32


NAME ERA W L PCT G GS CG SH SV IP H R ER HR BB SO
T.Johnson 2.08 2 1 .667 15 0 0 0 1 26.0 15 6 6 2 8 16
R.Pinto 2.23 4 1 .800 46 0 0 0 1 60.2 37 15 15 9 26 67
M.Macdougal 2.70 0 0 ---- 3 0 0 0 0 6.2 7 2 2 0 1 4
T.Miller 2.89 1 0 1.000 27 0 0 0 1 37.1 32 12 12 5 26 30
J.Hampson 3.10 3 1 .750 35 0 0 0 2 49.1 41 18 17 5 13 32
D.Slaten 3.18 0 0 ---- 6 0 0 0 0 5.2 8 2 2 0 1 3
P.Moylan 3.32 7 7 .500 66 0 0 0 8 89.1 86 39 33 13 23 66
K.Gregg 3.52 5 7 .417 56 0 0 0 24 69.0 44 34 27 11 35 56
J.Smoltz 3.76 17 5 .773 34 34 0 0 0 215.2 216 104 90 21 51 227
T.Glavine 4.45 5 5 .500 16 16 0 0 0 99.0 112 50 49 19 35 45
J.Moyer 4.51 14 11 .560 35 34 1 0 0 189.2 215 102 95 19 70 108
T.Yates 4.58 0 1 .000 32 0 0 0 1 55.0 50 35 28 11 26 60
S.Proctor 4.59 4 2 .667 66 0 0 0 1 82.1 83 47 42 7 49 62
B.Zito 4.73 8 6 .571 18 18 0 0 0 99.0 106 53 52 15 41 65
J.Suppan 5.94 10 16 .385 34 34 1 0 0 200.0 261 144 132 29 56 101
W.Ohman 6.49 0 0 ---- 20 0 0 0 1 26.1 33 21 19 1 6 20
S.Dohmann 7.11 0 0 ---- 3 0 0 0 0 6.1 6 5 5 0 4 7
J.De La Rosa 7.45 4 11 .267 24 19 2 1 0 118.1 178 110 98 21 48 99
J.Davis 7.71 0 0 ---- 3 0 0 0 0 2.1 2 2 2 1 0 0
E.Milton 11.33 1 3 .250 7 7 0 0 0 27.0 53 36 34 10 11 20
ALL NON-PITCHERS ---- 0 0 ---- 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Team 6 +0
----------------- ---- -- -- ----- --- -- -- -- -- ----- --- --- --- -- --- ---
TEAM TOTALS 4.67 77 162 4 40 1585 760 530
85 .525 162 7 1465.0 837 199 1088



Primary Player Statistics For 2008 Fleetwood Walkers Totals After 162 Games


NAME BAVG GM AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO HB SH DP SB CS E
C.Ross .379 67 177 50 67 25 0 16 51 21 32 3 0 4 0 0 3
A.Cabrera .377 113 167 41 63 5 5 7 25 13 23 3 6 4 0 0 5
D.Wright .325 162 628 135 204 55 0 28 111 98 95 5 0 18 13 1 25
M.Cabrera .319 158 602 123 192 33 1 40 132 87 130 5 0 25 0 0 0
R.Gotay .313 69 195 32 61 18 0 1 20 13 43 1 0 6 4 0 3
H.Kendrick .312 110 340 51 106 29 4 7 49 17 52 6 1 17 3 0 10
C.Pena .305 162 508 123 155 36 4 41 127 108 140 16 0 7 1 0 6
J.Flores .302 78 189 27 57 8 1 11 41 8 45 2 1 2 0 0 3
J.Phelps .297 71 155 30 46 10 1 5 27 12 54 11 0 5 0 0 2
C.Iannetta .291 65 148 23 43 10 2 1 27 19 36 4 1 3 0 0 0
J.Bartlett .281 153 523 92 147 26 9 6 62 46 80 8 5 9 10 1 34
B.Bonds .278 129 385 92 107 13 1 36 100 103 63 10 0 22 0 1 3
N.Markakis .276 162 675 110 186 43 3 20 98 52 126 6 1 23 9 3 3
R.Doumit .271 79 247 44 67 17 2 13 52 37 57 4 0 8 1 1 7
C.Beltran .270 161 585 105 158 40 0 34 117 61 128 2 4 13 7 1 4
M.Cabrera .261 102 157 25 41 9 3 2 20 14 17 4 2 7 4 2 2
M.Giles ---- 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0
R.Cedeno ---- 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
ALL PITCHERS ---- 162 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3
----------------- ---- --- --- --- --- -- -- -- --- --- --- -- -- -- --- -- --
TEAM TOTALS .299 5681 1700 36 1059 1121 22 52 114
162 1103 377 268 709 90 173 10


NAME ERA W L PCT G GS CG SH SV IP H R ER HR BB SO
M.Parra 1.00 1 0 1.000 5 0 0 0 0 9.0 7 1 1 0 3 12
M.Corpas 1.55 6 2 .750 55 0 0 0 19 75.2 55 15 13 6 24 50
S.Downs 1.94 4 2 .667 53 0 0 0 3 55.2 31 16 12 1 20 59
H.Bell 2.26 13 6 .684 59 0 0 0 14 95.2 67 30 24 9 31 104
A.Burnett 3.12 15 5 .750 26 26 0 0 0 173.1 125 68 60 20 77 167
G.Maddux 3.47 23 3 .885 32 32 4 1 0 207.1 228 85 80 14 39 118
C.Billingsley 3.51 15 5 .750 31 25 0 0 0 154.0 128 65 60 17 60 144
R.Johnson 3.62 4 3 .571 10 10 0 0 0 59.2 51 26 24 7 14 74
D.Matsuzaka 3.83 17 8 .680 33 33 1 1 0 214.0 202 104 91 24 97 201
C.Janssen 4.20 0 0 ---- 44 0 0 0 6 70.2 75 38 33 11 24 31
K.Escobar 4.27 21 4 .840 32 32 2 0 0 204.2 214 104 97 14 65 161
Z.Greinke 5.79 3 2 .600 49 4 0 0 5 119.2 136 80 77 16 35 91
A.Guzman 6.10 0 0 ---- 9 0 0 0 0 10.1 16 7 7 0 0 5
ALL NON-PITCHERS ---- 0 0 ---- 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Team 9 -1
----------------- ---- -- -- ----- --- -- -- -- -- ----- --- --- --- -- --- ---
TEAM TOTALS 3.59 40 162 7 47 1335 578 489
122 .753 162 11 1449.2 639 139 1217

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